🧠 The $1M Bitcoin Bet

🧠 Will Bitcoin make? FOMC meeting, and a golf course for sale.

GM 👋 This is Seedphrase we’re like the friend that recommends the best food places but doesn’t say I told you so, we eat in Web3.

📓 Today’s Agenda:

  • 🔥 Hot Headlines

  • 🤯 The $1M BTC Bet

  • ⛳️ How to own a golf course

  • 🧑🏻‍⚖️ FOMC Meeting

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🔥 HOT HEADLINES

📉 Crypto & The Markets:

  • Is Microsoft adding a crypto wallet to their edge browser? Take a look!

  • Missed the Arbitrum airdrop? Check out this thread on a possible zkSync airdrop!

  • The hostile takeover of Defillama…Read more

  • Youtubers who shilled FTX are being sued…Read more

🖼️ NFTs:

  • Cookie Monster on the Blockchain?! Check it out

  • VeeCon announces 115 speakers - Take a look

  • BTC DeGods are HOT on Bitcoin, #1 in 24 hour trading volume - See more

🤖AI:

  • Microsoft announces AI integration into their 365 suite - Check it out!

  • Someone told GPT-4 it had $100 and needed to make as much money as possible - Here’s what happened

🤯 BITCOIN TO $1M IN 90 DAYS

What is the bet?

  • March 16th - James Medlock tweeted that he would bet anyone $1M that the US does not enter hyperinflation

  • March 17th - Balaji accepts the offer and says that BTC will reach $1M in the next 90 days

Who are these people:

  • James Medlock - a pseudonym personality that has been igniting the left-leaning side of Twitter. His messages are centered around: Universal programs, higher taxes, and stronger unions.

  • Balaji - an entrepreneur and investor. He was the co-founder of Counsyl, the former Chief Technology Officer (CTO) of Coinbase, and a former general partner at the VC firm, Andreessen Horowitz

Why he made this bet: Balaji has outlined his rationale for his bet in a tweet. At the core of it is his distrust in banks. He believes the ~5% interest rate offered by big banks is a trap and having your money in short-term treasuries is the “worst place you can be”.

Why this matters: Balaji isn’t some random Bitcoin maxi, he’s highly educated and has one of the strongest resumes in crypto. He’s not alone in his thinking that the current financial infrastructure is broken, but predicting BTC to $1M in 90 days is as bold as you can get.

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⛳️ BUY AN NFT & OWN A GOLF COURSE

What is LinksDAO: LinksDAO is creating a “membership designed for golf's next generation”. They’re doing this through NFT based memberships.

Here are the Gold perks the NFT gets you:

  1. Access to a network of premium courses and golf experiences

  2. Special pricing and offers from golf's top brands, like Callaway and Bridgestone

  3. The largest and most active community in golf

What is the golf course: The DAO has purchased a course in Scotland for $905k, Spey Bay. All NFT holders have a voting right in any LinksDAO proposal. And this golf course purchase passed with flying colors as 88% of the community voted in favor.

Why this matters: LinksDAO had a goal of acquiring a golf course from day 1 of their project. 15 months later, they accomplished that goal. The LinksDAO leaders have stuck to their vision and executed on it. This is a win for an NFT ecosystem filled with rug pulls and empty promises.

Takeaway: When your friends ask you “what’s the deal with NFTs”, LinksDAO is a great way to explain to them why NFTs have value. A LinksDAO NFT has obvious benefits; anyone can understand why someone would want access to those benefits.

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🧑🏻‍⚖️ FOMC MEETING

What’s happening: This week (3/22) there is an FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting where the Fed will announce any changes to the fed funds rate.

What to expect: The market is pricing in a 62% chance of a 25bps increase and 38% chance of no increase.

Why it matters: The FOMC only meets 8 times a year so any meeting they have is a big deal. However, given the recent bank failures (SVB, Signature, Silvergate), this meeting is even bigger than normal.

🤯 A SEEDPHRASE PREDICTION

  • Option 1️⃣ 25bps - Bad news banks. This would be a tough pill to swallow for many already struggling banks & expect more blood.

  • Option 2️⃣ No rate hike - Markets hold strong and increase in the short term IF the Fed announces a pause to rate hikes

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➡️ WOW WERE EARLY STAT

We hear it all the time in crypto and NFTs, “we’re early”...but how early are we?

Giancarlo compared the current NFT market to PC games on Steam and found that the entire NFT “player base” wouldn’t even rank in the top 20 games.

Not just gaming NFTs. All NFTs.

Oh wow, we’re early.

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DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.

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